A Deep Dive

The Era of Vibe Coding

A Timeline — 2022 to 2026

"Vibe Coding"

A programming paradigm where the developer focuses on high-level intent — the "vibe" — and delegates the actual code writing to AI, often accepting changes without reading diffs. Coined by Andrej Karpathy in February 2025.

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2022
2022

The Genesis of Generative Code

The era of "The Magic Trick." AI moves from research to a novelty consumer tool.

ChatGPT Releases
November 30, 2022

OpenAI releases ChatGPT (GPT-3.5), bringing conversational coding assistance to the mainstream. It introduces the concept of shifting from "deductive programming" (writing rules) toward conversational intent.

GitHub Copilot Goes GA
2022

GitHub Copilot popularizes "autocomplete on steroids," predicting the next few lines of code based on immediate context. The era of Tab-Tab-Tab begins.

The Copy-Paste Workflow

Developers paste snippets into a chat window, ask for a fix, and manually copy-paste the result back. It is cumbersome but magical.

2023
2023

The Assistant Era

The era of "The Co-pilot." AI sits beside the developer, offering suggestions that require heavy human review.

GPT-4 Launches
March 2023

GPT-4 brings high-fidelity reasoning, enabling AI to solve more complex logic puzzles and refactor small functions reliably. A quantum leap in code quality.

Claude 2 Releases
July 2023

Anthropic introduces a 100,000-token context window, allowing developers to paste entire small libraries or documentation into the chat for the first time.

The Junior Pair Programmer

AI is treated as a "junior pair programmer." Trust is low; line-by-line review is mandatory. Every output is scrutinized before being accepted.

2024
2024

The Race for Context & Agency

The era of "The Shift." Massive context windows and early agents begin to automate multi-step tasks.

Gemini 1.5 Pro
May 2024

Google introduces a 1-million-token context window, theoretically allowing AI to "hold" entire codebases in memory. Reduces the need for RAG systems but introduces "lost in the middle" accuracy issues.

Claude 3.5 Sonnet & Artifacts
June 2024

Anthropic releases "Artifacts," a dedicated window for AI-generated code and UI, moving away from simple chat streams. This foreshadows the "agentic" interface.

Orchestrating Outputs

Developers begin shifting from writing syntax to "orchestrating" outputs, though manual intervention is still frequent. The role of the developer starts to evolve.

2025
2025

The Year of Vibe Coding

The era of "Material Disengagement." Developers stop writing code and start managing intent.

The "Vibe Coding" Tweet
February 2, 2025

Andrej Karpathy coins the term "Vibe Coding," describing a workflow where he "barely touches the keyboard," "accepts all," and relies on copy-pasting error messages to fix bugs.

Cursor 2.0 & Composer
October 2025

Cursor releases the Composer model. It enables multi-agent parallel execution — developers can spin up 8 agents to try different solutions simultaneously. Task completion drops from hours to under 30 seconds.

Google Antigravity & Gemini 3
November 2025

Google launches Antigravity, an "agent-first" IDE where the primary interface is a "Mission Control" dashboard rather than a text editor.

"Singularity Speed" Model Releases
Nov–Dec 2025

Claude Opus 4.5 positions itself as the best coding model, slashing prices by 67%. GPT-5.2 releases as OpenAI's "Code Red" response. The model wars accelerate.

— Andrej Karpathy, February 2025

0%
of code in Y Combinator startups is now AI-generated. The role of the "Junior Developer" effectively collapses.
2026
2026

Vibe Engineering & The "Post-Junior" Crisis

The era of "Orchestration & Technical Debt." The novelty fades, replaced by the complexity of managing autonomous agents.

The "Paperweight" Controversy
January 2026

Users of Google Antigravity report performance degradation ("lobotomy effect") due to compute throttling, highlighting the fragility of relying entirely on cloud-based agents for coding.

The Rise of "Vibe Engineering"

The casual "Vibe Coding" evolves into Vibe Engineering (Process-as-Code). Developers no longer review lines of code; they review the orchestration of agents — Architect, Coder, Reviewer — to ensure security and compliance.

The "Slot Machine Effect"

Industry analysts identify a "dark flow" state where developers feel productive ("junk flow") because they're generating massive amounts of code, but actual productivity drops due to time spent fixing subtle, AI-generated bugs.

xAI's Colossus

The world's largest AI training cluster (2 Gigawatts, 555k GPUs) comes online to train Grok 5. The unit of work shifts from the "line of code" to the "complete task."

Summary

The Paradigm Shift at a Glance

Dimension
Traditional Coding
Vibe Coding (2025)
Vibe Engineering (2026)
Primary Action
Typing Syntax
Prompting / "Accept All"
Orchestrating Agents
Core Skill
Language Syntax
Prompting / Taste
Context Management / Review
Tooling
VS Code / IntelliJ
Cursor / Windsurf
Antigravity / Mission Control
Unit of Work
Functions / Classes
Features / Prototypes
Full Workflows / Architecture
Human Role
Author
Editor / Director
Manager of Synthetic Labor